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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%

chance

YesNo
$677KVol. Dec 31science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
19%YesNo
2
74%YesNo
$2.98MVol. Dec 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

0
1%YesNo
1
1%YesNo
$14KVol. Jun 28science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

310+
310+92%
250–279
250–2793%7 more
$10KVol. Jul 8science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 24, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 24, 2026?

85–9099%
80–851%4 more
$4.0KVol. Jun 26science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

31%

chance

YesNo
$2.0KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

80mm+
80mm+87%
50-60mm
50-60mm10%5 more
$5.9KVol. Jun 30science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

16%

chance

YesNo
$13KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1.5-2"
1.5-2"44%
1-1.5"
1-1.5"35%5 more
$5.4KVol. Jun 30science
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

99%

chance

YesNo
$8.8KVol. Jun 30science
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

11%

chance

YesNo
$9.6KVol. Dec 31science