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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Business”
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How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
81%
1 (25 bps)
13%
11 more
$38.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
76 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
86%
xAI
26%
72 more
$4.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
52 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
38%
475k+
33%
7 more
$113K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
47 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.63M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$112K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
52 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
19%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.89M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$130
62 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Beyond Meat
37%
13 more
$200K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAI
32%
Google
31%
12 more
$45K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
41 trading now
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
44%
chance
Yes
No
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
45 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$78K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$54K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$156
54 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Santander
6%
Morgan Stanley
6%
17 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
47 trading now
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